Exploring the impact of broadband and technology on our lives, our businesses, and our communities.
Here is a very short article about the falling price of DSL service in the U.S. Usually, when prices fall, it is a possible indicator that people are not buying enough of whatever is for sale, or that they supplier has "too much" of something. In the case of DSL, both is probably true. The phone companies have been investing heavily in upgrading their local phone systems to handle DSL, but with limited success, apparently, or they would not be cutting prices.
Part of the problem is that the cable companies beat them to the punch several years ago. The cable companies got an early start not because they really believed the Internet thing was going to catch on, but because digital cable systems let them sell a lot more TV. It really did not cost much (relatively) to build systems that could also deliver Internet service. So a majority of broadband users in the U.S. have cable modem service rather than DSL. And it is often difficult to get your computer working with a new ISP, so most people tend to want to avoid switching unless there is a really compelling reason. And a $4.27 price differential is not enough, it seems, to get people to switch from cable to DSL.
Anedotally, almost everywhere I visit in the U.S., people tell me that cable modem service is faster, more reliable, and tends to have better service than DSL provided by the phone companies.
But the sad news is in the last paragraph of the article. While many communities are happy just to any broadband Internet service delivered over slow, last century copper systems, broadband prices in Japan also continue to drop. Service providers there are offering 100 megabit fiber service for $25.90 a month--less than we are paying for copper broadband 100-200 times slower.
Some crooks in England figured out how to steal credit card numbers from credit cards that have embedded RFID (Radio Frequency ID) tags in them. The RFID tags can be read at a distance. The enterprising crooks stole the numbers, made up a batch of fake credit cards encoded with the legitimate credit card numbers (easily done), and then flew to India to withdraw cash from ATM machines that don't bother to read the RFID tag (ATMs in England won't give you cash unless the machine can get both the credit card number off the magnetic stripe AND can read the RFID tag). Apparently British police did not even know some credit cards now have the RFID tags.
Welcome to the global economy.
Ireland's research and higher education network, HEAnet, is getting configurable lightpaths. What are configurable lightpaths? It means that ordinary network users can configure a single wavelength of light on a fiber network from their computer or server to another computer or server on the same network (the computers could be hundreds or thousands of miles apart). A single lightpath can provide many gigabits of bandwidth with very little network delay, because the photons have a single path (lightpath) through the network. Much of the pioneering work was done in Canada and in Chicago, and a similar project has been underway in North America, called Starlight. Starlight already has fiber across the Atlantic and Pacific, and more schools, universities, and research labs are joining the effort.
This new kind of network system (it is entirely compatible with the Internet) is starting the same way the original Internet started, with schools and universities. It is already moving out into industry, with companies like Cisco developing off the shelf equipment to implement lightpath networks.
Lightpaths are one more reason for communities to start investing in fiber, now. Old-fashioned copper cable modem, telephone, and DSL networks don't support lightpaths and never will. Do you want your schools and businesses to be left behind?
Much is being made of the AOL security lapse, where they left millions of search records sitting in a file anyone could download if they knew where it was.
The real issue that everyone forgets is that the major search engines, not just AOL, routinely compile and save billions of these records, and sell either the raw data or data summaries, or both. There are plenty of eager customers, and this is a business worth many millions of dollars. AOL execs are probably not losing much sleep over the security breach. They are probably kicking someone silly, though, for screwing up the opportunity to sell all those records.
Whether we like it or not, our daily travels around the Internet--almost everything we do--leaves a nice clear trail of bread crumbs that are easily available to others. Some Web sites are ethical and don't redistribute or sell any of these results (including this site). Others, like Google, Yahoo!, MSN, and AOL, have made a business of telling other people what you are doing. We love our "free" search engines and the convenience that it brings to us in our personal and business work. But this is not a free lunch; we all pay every time we use a "free" search service or some other kind of "free" service--Flickr, FaceBook, MySpace, YouTube--all these "free" services have enormous costs associated with them, and we pay by giving up some of our privacy.
I worry most about our kids, who need our help understanding what they may be losing permanently. Already, FaceBook and MySpace are being used by employers to learn more about prospective employees, and many college students are learning a hard lesson: there are consequences to posting personal information online, where the whole world can see it.
As the crusty old seargent used to say on "Hill Street Blues," "Let's be careful out there."
This importance of this article really has little to do with the NSA. It is an excellent reminder, however, that reliable and resilient electric power drives IT--literally. Substitute 'our local IT firm' for 'NSA' and read the article a second time. The NSA is facing expansion difficulties because it cannot get the power it needs to run its IT infrastructure.
How about your community? Can you deliver reliable electric power--as much as needed--to any business? We can argue about what is causing global warming, but I do see a consensus that we are moving into a period of more unsettled weather--more heat, more cold, more storms--no one seems to disagree about that, although there are many opinions on the causes. All these weather extremes tend to put more stress on electrical distribution systems, and communities that have some of their own electrical generating capacity may have a unique and distinct advantage in the Knowledge Economy. In particular, communities with public power (municipal) electric are well positioned to be attractive to IT companies with power hungry computers and servers. Diversified local electrical generating capacity (e.g. hydro, gas turbines, coal, diesel, wind, solar, cogeneration) are even better positioned to leverage that infrastructure as an economic development advantage.
Are your economic developers including reliable power as part of the strategic roadmap? If not, why not?
A bill has been approved by the House of Representatives that requires K12 schools and libraries that receive Federal funding to block social networking sites, so that minors cannot access them.
It is a kind of darned if you do, darned if you don't situation. In general, I oppose government meddling in what we look at online. But sites like Facebook and MySpace are filled with hardcore pornography, and I don't think our kids really need to be exposed to that in the middle school computer lab. Worse, it is easy for sexual predators to browse such sites and pick out likely victims--kids are putting pictures, their names, and even their phone numbers and street addresses on the sites.
It would be better if these bans were voluntary, developed by schools and library staff in cooperation with parents, as local standards, rather than having the heavy and often arbitrary hand of the Federal government. Pornography really is the scourge of the Internet, and it is hard to figure out how to protect our right to access what we think is important versus the need to protect children.
This video of how to change the vote count on a Diebold voting machine is somewhat tongue in cheek, but illustrates how the vote count on a machine could be altered from inside the voting booth in a few minutes--no longer than some people spend pondering their votes.
Any community that has Diebold machines should be talking to the their lawyer right now.
The Open Voting Foundation has found yet more flaws in Diebold voting machines. A single switch on the motherboard allows someone to boot the machine from external memory. This would allow someone to change the way the machine counts votes. The machine can then be flipped back to the original memory, and no one would know the machine had been tampered with.
The flaw does require physical access to the machine, but many people have access to voting machine both before and after voting occurs. The Diebold machines do not provide an auditable paper trail of actual votes, which would allow an accurate after vote audit.
The tragedy here is that public officials have spent hundreds of millions of dollars of taxpayer money on defective machines that have to be replaced in order to be certain that our votes are being tallied properly.
The City of Boston has decided to develop an open access wireless network for the city. This project might actually succeed where many other communitywide wireless projects have struggled. Boston has decided to do some things differently.
The choice of an Open Access Network (OAN) or Open Service Provider Network (OSPN) (two terms that mean the same thing) means that local government officials are not going to try to guess winners and losers in the Internet services marketplace. A fundamental weakness of giving the keys of a communitywide broadband system to a single company means that a handful of local government officials have to be very smart, indeed, to project (typically) eight or ten years into the future and be sure that just one or two private firms will market, sell, and manage services over the community network perfectly.
I am not that smart. I would much rather build a digital road system and let any qualified firm sell services, at whatever prices they choose, and let buyers in the marketplace decide who has the best prices and services. That way, local or regional governments don't have to have the responsibility of picking winners and losers.
An Open Service Provider Network also lets local and regional governments neatly sidestep the thorny issue of creating a de facto public monopoly for services. By using public money to build a network and then selecting just a handful of service providers, there is created a potentially difficult legal challenge from other service providers who want to offer services in the community but have not been "blessed" by local government. An OSPN network lets any qualified provider come in and sell on an equal footing, and takes the government competition issue off the table.
An OSPN system encourages competition, which leads to lower prices for telecom services. When government picks the service providers, competition is diminished, and everyone, even local government, ends up paying more for services.
Finally, when managed correctly, an OSPN network encourages innovation by lowering the barriers for entry into a new marketplace. The current bandwidth model we use everywhere now discourages rolling out new and experimental services by creating up front (and often very expensive) fixed bandwidth charges before even a single customer is subscribed to the service. A correctly designed OSPN system should price the cost of transport based on the services offered along with other factors like time of day, Quality of Service needed, and yes, bandwidth. But transport charges in an OSPN network should be tied to revenue, which encourages innovation. If a service provider has few customers, network use fees are low. If the service is popular, network use fees go up in proportion to revenue. This also means that the network operator has income proportional to network use, unlike the bandwidth model which punishes network use.
Boston is to be commended for this approach, although I still remain skeptical of communitywide wireless. So far, use of these systems has been light for a variety of technology and economic reasons, but that is the subject of another article.
It is official. YouTube has overtaken MySpace as the world's biggest time waster. MySpace is primarily a playground for high school and college kids who place a high value on knowing too much about people they might meet before they actually meet them. YouTube, on the other hand, is an equal opportunity time waster, with something to offer everyone.
It is almost always a mistake to click on a YouTube link, because not only will you end up wasting several minutes watching someone do something incredibly stupid on video, you will probably also click on and watch several other really dumb videos and watch them too. And finally, you will complete your, uh, "Internet research" and get back to work reading Dilbert online.
America's Funniest Home Videos and many of those other "send us your dumbest moments" TV shows may be endangered species, since now you don't have to wait months to see if that video clip of Aunt Mildred knocking over the Christmas tree made it onto the show. With just a few mouse clicks, you can put Aunt Mildred out there, sit back, and see if you have an Internet hit.
What is interesting about YouTube is the ad potential. With the number of people wasting time on YouTube, ad rates for the site will not be an obstacle to companies who want to get their message in front of a lot of people. And YouTube may have a built in advantage over search engine ads. Search engines are a way for people to go somewhere else, so the amount of time people want to spend on a search results page is very limited. But with video sites like YouTube, the site is a destination, not a way point. Of course, Google has Google TV.
Long term, I am skeptical about these sites. The numbers are high right now because of the "newbie" effect we have observed since 1993. Many new Internet services are extremely popular at the beginning primarily because they are new, not because they offer some lasting or important value. Online video is here to stay, but if the YouTube founders are smart, they will sell while the perceived value is high--remember AOLTimeWarner? TimeWarner's content was supposed to push AOL into a "must have" service category. Instead, the merged company lost billions.